The best odds available on New Zealand in a straight head-to-head are 5/12. You can get 13/5 on Australia while the 80-minute draw is 25/1.
An email. At this time. On a Sunday. "Morning Evan," writes Andy Bradhsaw. "I for one want New Zealand to win today, all so they go through to next weeks final, against a French side worse than England's 2007 side. And then produce the choke to end all chokes & lose. Would sum up what, due to the refereeing antics, gum guard rubbish, ludicrously harsh citings & bans, hysterical press over reaction, would have been a most disappointing World Cup, except for 3 games, Ireland v Australia, Wales v South Africa & Wales v France. And that's before I start on the utter disgrace that is ITV's coverage."
The New Zealand and Australia rivalry: It's Springfield and Shelbyville, isn't it?
G'day. So, is this the real final? No team has ever been beaten on the way to winning the World Cup. Australia have never lost to New Zealand in a World Cup. One of those facts is going to change in the next two hours.
What it all means is that New Zealand is a very edgy place to be right now. Everything from Quade Cooper to the kick-off time (9pm local time) is causing huge levels of anxiety across both islands. Merely mention Dan carter's name and even the most reserved individual will drop to the floor, beating the fist on the ground, screaming "why, why, why". But, hey, there's always Aaron Cruden.
A thousand miles away in Australia things are just as unsettled. It's 25 years since the Wallabies have won at Eden Park. That hex was meant to be put to rest in the Pool game against Ireland but we know what happened there. But with typical Aussie bravado it seems they are prepared to try and bluff this one out and shift the pressure back New Zealand's direction. The Sydney Morning Herald published an open letter to the All Blacks which urged them not to choke and contained the following: "The great traditions of rugby [include] giving three cheers for the ref afterwards and the All Blacks crashing and burning."
After Saturday's dramatic victory over Wales, France await the victors in the final. Surely the French are the worst finalists since, oh, England in 2007?
Here are the teams for today's game ...
Australia: 15 Adam Ashley Cooper; 14 James O'Connor, 13 Anthony Fainga'a, 12 Pat McCabe, 11 Digby Ioane; 10 Quade Cooper, 9 Will Genia; 1 Sekope Kepu, 2 Stephen Moore, 3 Ben Alexander, 4 Dan Vickerman, 5 James Horwill (capt), 6 Rocky Elsom, 7 David Pocock, 8 Radike Samo.
Replacements: 16 Tatafu Polota Nau, 17 James Slipper, 18 Rob Simmons, 19 Ben McCalman, 20 Luke Burgess, 21 Berrick Barnes, 22 Rob Horne.
New Zealand: 15 Israel Dagg; 14 Cory Jane, 13 Conrad Smith, 12 Ma'a Nonu, 11 Richard Kahui; 10 Aaron Cruden, 9 Piri Weepu; 1 Tony Woodcock, 2 Keven Mealamu, 3 Owen Franks, 4 Sam Whitelock, 5 Brad Thorn, 6 Jerome Kaino, 7 Richie McCaw (capt), 8 Kieran Reed.
Replacements: 16 Andrew Hore, 17 Ben Franks, 18 Ali Williams, 19 Victor Vito, 20 Andy Ellis, 21 Stephen Donald, 22 Sonny Bill Williams
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